Sport Picks
Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Chorten Arena, Bialystok 
Match Events
61'
61'
Sub
Sylla Y. In: Conceicao R.
Out: Sylla Y.
61'
61'
Sub
Jozwiak K. In: Prelec N.
Out: Jozwiak K.
64'
64'
Hellebrand P.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa game between Jagiellonia and Korona Kielce finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korona Kielce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- Jagiellonia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Jagiellonia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 16%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia
3:1
Oct 27, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jagiellonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Prelec N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Korona Kielce Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jagiellonia 48 / 100
Korona Kielce 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jagiellonia Korona Kielce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jagiellonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jagiellonia's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Korona Kielce conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Jagiellonia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jagiellonia VS Korona Kielce
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Jagiellonia
(Home) 10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0 Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0 Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
06 Sept
Jagiellonia
2 : 1 Slask Wroclaw
Page 1 of 4
Korona Kielce
(Away) 03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1 Korona Kielce
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Wisla
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1 Korona Kielce
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1 Korona Kielce
28 Aug
Wisla Plock
0 : 2 Korona Kielce
15 Aug
Widzew Lodz
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
