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Jagiellonia vs LKS Lomza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Polak C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Jagiellonia and LKS Lomza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Jagiellonia
15%
Draws
21%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jagiellonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jagiellonia come out ahead of LKS Lomza on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jagiellonia a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jagiellonia have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 19%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia LKS Lomza
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.76 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia vs LKS Lomza
1:0
Apr 18, 2007 Division 1
LKS Lomza vs Jagiellonia
1:1
Sep 3, 2006 Division 1
Jagiellonia vs LKS Lomza
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 85 / 100
LKS Lomza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia LKS Lomza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagiellonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: LKS Lomza conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: LKS Lomza registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS LKS Lomza
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Gornik Zabrze
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
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LKS Lomza

(Away)
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
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