Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagiellonia vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Jozwiak K.
13' Event
Noiszewski K.
30' Event
Pululu A.

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagiellonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Jagiellonia
22%
Draws
18%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jagiellonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Jagiellonia have won more games recently than Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
  • Jagiellonia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 11
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobayashi Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jozwiak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Noiszewski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 58 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Jagiellonia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
25 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Korona Kielce
17 Jul
Nordsjaelland
1 : 2
Jagiellonia
16 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
12 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Pafos
09 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
0 : 0
Jagiellonia
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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Away)
25 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1
Trencin
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