Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagiellonia vs Pogon Siedlce

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Demianiuk C.
15'
Jakubik D.
21' Event
Kobayashi Y.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Jagiellonia and Pogon Siedlce finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Jagiellonia
17%
Draws
13%
Pogon Siedlce
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Jagiellonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Jagiellonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jagiellonia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia vs Pogon Siedlce
4:1
Jun 22, 2019 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Jagiellonia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobayashi Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zalewski Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Demianiuk C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 67 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Pogon Siedlce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jagiellonia scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Pogon Siedlce conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jagiellonia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Pogon Siedlce
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
17 Jul
Nordsjaelland
1 : 2
Jagiellonia
16 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
12 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Pafos
09 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
0 : 0
Jagiellonia
04 Jul
Jagiellonia
4 : 1
Pogon Siedlce
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Pogon Siedlce

(Away)
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
04 Jul
Jagiellonia
4 : 1
Pogon Siedlce
27 Jun
Pogon Siedlce
0 : 3
Unia Skierniewice
24 May
Wisla
2 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
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