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Jagiellonia vs Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Chorten Arena, Bialystok
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Match Events

4' Event
Montoia G.
Own Goal
5'
Rommens T.
13' Event
Fernandez E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Jagiellonia
15%
Draws
71%
Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Jagiellonia have won more games recently than Rangers.
  • Model gives Rangers a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Jagiellonia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jagiellonia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 17%
Rangers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Rangers
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Europa League
Rangers vs Jagiellonia
1:1
Aug 6, 2026 Europa League
Jagiellonia vs Rangers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Szmyt K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 28 / 100
Rangers 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Jagiellonia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Rangers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0
Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6

Rangers

(Away)
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
TBD -
Pafos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
TBD -
PAOK -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
KuPS 2
Univ. Craiova 3
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 2
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 4
KF Egnatia 6
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 3
Rangers 2
Larne 1
Iberia 1999 2
Mjallby -
TBD -
Pafos 3
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan 6
Klaksvik 0
Thun 5
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 2
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Benfica 7
Hearts 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
CSKA Sofia 4
Final
Trabzonspor 0
Ferencvaros 5
Univ. Craiova 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
St. Truiden 3
Omonia 4
Crvena zvezda 4
Plzen 5
KF Egnatia 1
Lillestrom 2
Jagiellonia 6
Iberia 1999 1
Mjallby 0
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty 0
Anderlecht 6
Lech Poznan 9
Thun 2
Besiktas 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Benfica 6
Aarhus 2
OFI Crete 5
CSKA Sofia 0