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Jagiellonia vs Sparta Prague - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Vital B.
47' Event
Szmyt K.
57'
Sub
Sochurek H. In: Moudry L.
Out: Sochurek H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Jagiellonia and Sparta Prague finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Jagiellonia
15%
Draws
71%
Sparta Prague
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sparta Prague come out ahead of Jagiellonia on wins alone.
  • Sparta Prague are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Sparta Prague
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 1
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.79 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia vs Sparta Prague
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Szmyt K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sparta Prague Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 10 / 100
Sparta Prague 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Sparta Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Sparta Prague has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Jagiellonia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Sparta Prague
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0
Jagiellonia
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Sparta Prague

(Away)
02 Oct
Sparta Prague
5 : 3
Jihlava
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5
Sparta Prague
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