Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagiellonia vs Sparta Prague

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Vital B.
47' Event
Szmyt K.
57'
Sub
Sochurek H. In: Moudry L.
Out: Sochurek H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Jagiellonia and Sparta Prague finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jagiellonia
6%
Draws
4%
Sparta Prague
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagiellonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jagiellonia have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Sparta Prague are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Jagiellonia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Sparta Prague
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia vs Sparta Prague
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Szmyt K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sparta Prague Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 85 / 100
Sparta Prague 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Sparta Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Jagiellonia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sparta Prague lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sparta Prague has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Sparta Prague
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
26 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
LKS Lomza
25 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Korona Kielce
17 Jul
Nordsjaelland
1 : 2
Jagiellonia
16 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
12 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Pafos
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Sparta Prague

(Away)
25 Jul
Brno
3 : 1
Sparta Prague
17 Jul
Nordsjaelland
5 : 1
Sparta Prague
16 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
11 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 0
Gamba Osaka
04 Jul
Sparta Prague
4 : 1
Opava
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