Sport Picks
Jagiellonia vs Widzew Lodz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Chorten Arena, Bialystok 
Match Events
20'
20'
Fornalczyk M.
24'
24'
Kornvig E.
36'
36'
Kapuadi S.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa game between Jagiellonia and Widzew Lodz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Widzew Lodz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Widzew Lodz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jagiellonia come out ahead of Widzew Lodz on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 68%
Widzew Lodz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Widzew Lodz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 24 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Widzew Lodz
0:2
Jan 31, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia
1:3
Jul 27, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Widzew Lodz
3:2
Jul 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia
7:1
Mar 9, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jagiellonia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Widzew Lodz Compare
Top Goalscorer Bergier S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alvarez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jagiellonia 41 / 100
Widzew Lodz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jagiellonia Widzew Lodz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jagiellonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jagiellonia's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Widzew Lodz let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.
Jagiellonia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jagiellonia VS Widzew Lodz
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jagiellonia
(Home) 03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0 Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0 Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
06 Sept
Jagiellonia
2 : 1 Slask Wroclaw
20 Aug
Jagiellonia
4 : 0 Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 3
Widzew Lodz
(Away) 26 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2 Leczna
18 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2 KS Wieczysta Krakow
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0 Radomiak Radom
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 5
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz
22 Aug
Slask Wroclaw
3 : 3 Widzew Lodz
09 Aug
Jagiellonia
0 : 2 Widzew Lodz
31 Jul
Wisla Plock
0 : 0 Widzew Lodz
15 May
Korona Kielce
1 : 0 Widzew Lodz
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 14 | Cracovia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
