Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagodina vs Dunav Prahovo

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagodina play Dunav Prahovo in the Srpska Liga - East. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jagodina averaged 2.77 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Dunav Prahovo averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Jagodina won 2, Dunav Prahovo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.50 for Jagodina and 1.81 for Dunav Prahovo. This points to a Jagodina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Jagodina
18%
Draws
27%
Dunav Prahovo
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Jagodina picked up more points recently compared to Dunav Prahovo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.50 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 11%
Dunav Prahovo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagodina Dunav Prahovo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.77 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 4.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Dunav Prahovo vs Jagodina
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Dunav Prahovo
6:0
May 10, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Dunav Prahovo
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Dunav Prahovo vs Jagodina
5:0
May 26, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Dunav Prahovo vs Jagodina
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagodina 52 / 100
Dunav Prahovo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagodina Dunav Prahovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagodina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jagodina & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jagodina attacking → ← attacking Dunav Prahovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagodina scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Dunav Prahovo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Jagodina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dunav Prahovo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 28
4.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75