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Jagodina vs Timocanin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagodina host Timocanin in the Srpska Liga - East. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Timocanin have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Jagodina have conceded 1.53 and scored 2.65. Head-to-head, Jagodina have won 3 to Timocanin's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 18, 2024, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.50, favoring Jagodina. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Jagodina
20%
Draws
51%
Timocanin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Timocanin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Timocanin haven't matched Jagodina's recent run of results.
  • Timocanin are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 16%
Timocanin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagodina Timocanin
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 2.65 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timocanin
3:2
Nov 4, 2023 Srpska Liga - East
Timocanin vs Jagodina
1:0
Apr 23, 2023 Srpska Liga - East
Timocanin vs Jagodina
3:2
Oct 1, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timocanin
3:0
May 21, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timocanin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagodina 19 / 100
Timocanin 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagodina Timocanin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timocanin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timocanin let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Jagodina found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Jagodina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jagodina VS Timocanin
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagodina

(Home)
10 Oct
Jagodina
3 : 5
Jedinstvo Krusevac
03 Oct
Rembas
4 : 0
Jagodina
26 Sept
Jagodina
0 : 6
Timok
19 Sept
Pcinja
1 : 1
Jagodina
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
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Timocanin

(Away)
10 Oct
Sindjelic
1 : 2
Timocanin
03 Oct
Timocanin
2 : 1
Radnicki Svilajnac
26 Sept
Jedinstvo Krusevac
3 : 0
Timocanin
21 Sept
Timocanin
0 : 1
Brzi Brod
12 Sept
Rembas
0 : 0
Timocanin
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