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Jaguar vs Afogadense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Jaguar Logo

Jaguar

1 - 2
FT
Afogadense Logo

Afogadense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2012 game between Jaguar and Afogadense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Jaguar
15%
Draws
76%
Afogadense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afogadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Afogadense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Afogadense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 19%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Afogadense
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.44 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Jaguar
2:0
Aug 15, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Afogadense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 10 / 100
Afogadense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Afogadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afogadense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguar's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Afogadense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Jaguar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
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Afogadense

(Away)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)