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Jaguar vs Afogados da Ingazeira

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Pernambucano 2 2023 Arena Pernambuco
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2023 game between Jaguar and Afogados da Ingazeira finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Jaguar
17%
Draws
70%
Afogados da Ingazeira
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaguar haven't matched Afogados da Ingazeira's recent run of results.
  • Afogados da Ingazeira are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 20%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Afogados da Ingazeira
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Pernambucano
Jaguar vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 16 / 100
Afogados da Ingazeira 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Afogados da Ingazeira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguar scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Afogados da Ingazeira conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Jaguar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS Afogados da Ingazeira
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375