Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaguar vs Cabense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2022 game between Jaguar and Cabense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaguar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Jaguar
30%
Draws
58%
Cabense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cabense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cabense haven't matched Jaguar's recent run of results.
  • Cabense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 17%
Cabense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Cabense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Cabense
3:2
Oct 9, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Cabense
2:1
Sep 29, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Cabense vs Jaguar
2:0
Aug 5, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Cabense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 10 / 100
Cabense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Cabense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cabense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaguar scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Cabense conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Jaguar has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS Cabense
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 7

Cabense

(Away)
15 Sept
Decisao
3 : 1
Cabense
07 Sept
Cabense
1 : 1
Decisao
31 Aug
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Cabense
24 Aug
Jaguar
3 : 2
Cabense
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo Arcoverde 5 4 0 1 11:3 12
2 Decisao 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
3 Petrolina 5 2 2 1 12:3 8
4 1º de Maio 5 1 3 1 3:3 6
5 Pesqueira 5 1 2 2 8:5 5
6 Serrano PE 5 0 0 5 1:23 0
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central SC 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
2 Maguary 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
3 Ypiranga 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
4 Belo Jardim 5 1 2 2 3:3 5
5 CA Porto 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
6 Cha Grande 5 0 1 4 0:10 1
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Torres 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 America PE 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
3 Vera Cruz 5 2 1 2 5:3 7
4 Academica Vitoria 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
5 Sete de Setembro (PE) 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
6 Santa Fe PE 5 0 2 3 2:9 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico PE 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Ipojuca 6 5 0 1 14:3 15
3 Ferroviario do Cabo 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
4 Centro Limoeirense 6 2 2 2 11:5 8
5 Jaguar 6 2 0 4 7:17 6
6 Cabense 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
7 Timbauba FC 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)