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Jaguare vs GEL

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
Jaguare Logo

Jaguare

2 - 0
FT
GEL Logo

GEL

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaguare in this Campeonato Capixaba 2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaguare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Jaguare
35%
Draws
39%
GEL
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Jaguare have won more games recently than GEL.
  • Model gives GEL a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 20%
GEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguare GEL
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2009 Capixaba
GEL vs Jaguare
2:1
Jan 23, 2009 Capixaba
Jaguare vs GEL
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguare 10 / 100
GEL 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguare GEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GEL let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Jaguare scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Jaguare went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguare VS GEL
0.57 Goals Scored 0.5
1.71 Goals Conceded 3.88
86% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguare

(Home)
23 Feb
Rio Branco ES
3 : 0
Jaguare
18 Feb
Jaguare
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
11 Feb
Real Noroeste
1 : 1
Jaguare
08 Feb
Jaguare
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
05 Feb
Porto Vitoria
3 : 1
Jaguare
Page 1 of 8

GEL

(Away)
14 Aug
GEL
6 : 0
CTE Colatina
01 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 0
GEL
28 Jul
GEL
0 : 4
Linhares Futebol Clube
23 Jul
GEL
0 : 0
Doze Futebol Clube
19 Jul
CTE Colatina
1 : 1
GEL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Mateus 18 11 3 4 28:21 36
2 Rio Branco ES 18 8 7 3 35:21 31
3 Jaguare 18 9 3 6 30:25 30
4 Vilavelhense 18 8 4 6 29:27 28
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 8 3 7 18:19 27
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 4 8 26:24 22
7 Rio Bananal FC 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 GEL 18 6 2 10 24:33 20
9 Serra 18 5 4 9 32:39 19
10 Colatinense 18 5 3 10 25:34 18
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)