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Jaguares De Chiapas vs Inter Playa Del Carmen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Primera Premier
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaguares De Chiapas host Inter Playa Del Carmen in the Primera Premier. This one's hard to separate. Jaguares De Chiapas have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Inter Playa Del Carmen's 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Inter Playa Del Carmen slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 4:3. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.00) point toward Inter Playa Del Carmen. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jaguares De Chiapas
20%
Draws
29%
Inter Playa Del Carmen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaguares De Chiapas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Playa Del Carmen lately — more wins on the board than Jaguares De Chiapas.
  • Model gives Jaguares De Chiapas a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jaguares De Chiapas Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguares De Chiapas Inter Playa Del Carmen
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Jaguares De Chiapas
4:3
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Jaguares De Chiapas vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Jaguares De Chiapas
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Jaguares De Chiapas vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguares De Chiapas 58 / 100
Inter Playa Del Carmen 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguares De Chiapas Inter Playa Del Carmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaguares De Chiapas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaguares De Chiapas scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jaguares De Chiapas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Inter Playa Del Carmen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguares De Chiapas VS Inter Playa Del Carmen
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguares De Chiapas

(Home)
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
29 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 1
Racing de Veracruz
12 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 0
Jaguares De Chiapas
06 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
2 : 3
Montaneses
29 Aug
Chapulineros
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
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Inter Playa Del Carmen

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
3 : 1
Deportiva Venados
27 Sept
Montaneses
3 : 2
Inter Playa Del Carmen
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 1
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Tapachula
2 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
08 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 4
Pioneros
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 5 5 0 0 13:4 16
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 5 4 0 1 10:6 11
3 Tigres de Alica 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
4 Zacatepec 6 3 1 2 8:7 11
5 Los Cabos United 6 3 0 3 6:7 9
6 Cordobes FC 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
7 Lobos ULMX 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
8 Tritones Vallarta 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
9 Purepechas 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 5 3 2 0 16:6 13
2 Pioneros 5 4 0 1 14:6 13
3 Celaya 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 5 2 1 2 5:5 8
5 Deportiva Venados 5 1 2 2 9:9 6
6 Montaneses 6 2 1 3 9:12 6
7 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
9 Tapachula 5 1 0 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)