Sport Picks
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Atl. Nacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria 
Match Events
7'
7'
Moreno M.
Assist: Morelos A.
19'
19'
Sarmiento A.
Assist: Uribe M.
32'
32'
Morelos A.
Assist: Roman A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Jaguares de Cordoba and Atl. Nacional finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atl. Nacional
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atl. Nacional come out ahead of Jaguares de Cordoba on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Atl. Nacional's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Atl. Nacional here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaguares de Cordoba | Atl. Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Atl. Nacional
0:3
Apr 7, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Jaguares de Cordoba
2:1
Oct 25, 2024 Copa Colombia
Atl. Nacional vs Jaguares de Cordoba
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Copa Colombia
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Atl. Nacional
1:3
Aug 31, 2024 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Atl. Nacional
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jaguares de Cordoba Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Atl. Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sarmiento A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaguares de Cordoba 22 / 100
Atl. Nacional 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaguares de Cordoba Atl. Nacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Nacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaguares de Cordoba's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Atl. Nacional let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Jaguares de Cordoba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jaguares de Cordoba VS Atl. Nacional
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaguares de Cordoba
(Home) 03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0 Jaguares de Cordoba
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2 Alianza
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1 Jaguares de Cordoba
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3 Jaguares de Cordoba
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2 Alianza
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
29 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2 America De Cali
21 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 0 Chico
09 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 1 Once Caldas
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Nacional
(Away) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5 Atl. Nacional
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
10 Aug
America De Cali
1 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
