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Stadium Background

Jaguares de Cordoba vs Chico Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Bustamante R.
10' Event
Bustamante R.
Assist: Alvarez C.
27'
Mosquera F.

AI Match Summary

Jaguares de Cordoba in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaguares de Cordoba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Jaguares de Cordoba
30%
Draws
52%
Chico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chico lately — more wins on the board than Jaguares de Cordoba.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 18%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguares de Cordoba Chico
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Chico
1:0
Feb 12, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Jaguares de Cordoba
5:0
Oct 15, 2024 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Chico
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Jaguares de Cordoba
1:0
Jul 25, 2023 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Chico
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaguares de Cordoba Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustamante R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Chico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguares de Cordoba 32 / 100
Chico 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguares de Cordoba Chico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguares de Cordoba's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Chico has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jaguares de Cordoba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaguares de Cordoba VS Chico
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguares de Cordoba

(Home)
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3
Jaguares de Cordoba
29 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
America De Cali
Page 1 of 6

Chico

(Away)
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
3 Dep. Cali 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
4 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
5 Bucaramanga 10 5 5 0 17:9 20
6 Ind. Medellin 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
7 Santa Fe 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
8 Deportes Tolima 11 5 3 3 15:13 18
9 Llaneros 11 4 2 5 14:14 14
10 Once Caldas 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
11 Inter Bogotá 12 2 6 4 13:17 12
12 Cucuta 11 3 3 5 11:19 12
13 Aguilas Doradas 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
14 Chico 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
15 Alianza 11 3 2 6 11:21 11
16 Junior 10 2 3 5 15:17 9
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 11 1 6 4 13:18 9
18 Dep. Pereira 10 1 5 4 7:13 8
19 Dep. Pasto 11 2 2 7 9:18 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)