Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaguares de Cordoba vs Deportes Tolima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaguares de Cordoba host Deportes Tolima in the Primera A. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Jaguares de Cordoba at 0.93 goals for, 1.76 against; Deportes Tolima at 1.29 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Jaguares de Cordoba have won 0 to Deportes Tolima's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.19) point toward Deportes Tolima. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Jaguares de Cordoba
35%
Draws
39%
Deportes Tolima
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportes Tolima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportes Tolima come out ahead of Jaguares de Cordoba on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportes Tolima have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguares de Cordoba Deportes Tolima
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 4 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Cordoba
3:1
Aug 19, 2024 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Deportes Tolima
0:2
Feb 15, 2024 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Cordoba
2:0
Oct 6, 2023 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Deportes Tolima
0:1
Apr 26, 2023 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Cordoba
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguares de Cordoba 36 / 100
Deportes Tolima 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguares de Cordoba Deportes Tolima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Tolima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguares de Cordoba found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Deportes Tolima has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jaguares de Cordoba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguares de Cordoba VS Deportes Tolima
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguares de Cordoba

(Home)
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3
Jaguares de Cordoba
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Deportes Tolima

(Away)
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0
Chico
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2
Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1
America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)