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Jaguares de Cordoba vs Ind. Yumbo

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Jaraguay
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Copa Colombia encounter between Jaguares de Cordoba and Ind. Yumbo promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Jaguares de Cordoba averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Ind. Yumbo shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Jaguares de Cordoba, 0 wins for Ind. Yumbo, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.05.26 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.44 for Jaguares de Cordoba and 1.06 for Ind. Yumbo, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jaguares de Cordoba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Jaguares de Cordoba
32%
Draws
27%
Ind. Yumbo
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Jaguares de Cordoba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Jaguares de Cordoba picked up more points recently compared to Ind. Yumbo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 22%
Ind. Yumbo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguares de Cordoba Ind. Yumbo
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.26 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

21.05.26 Copa Colombia
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Ind. Yumbo
3:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Jaguares de Cordoba

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Ind. Yumbo

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaguares de Cordoba Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mejia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ind. Yumbo Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguares de Cordoba 41 / 100
Ind. Yumbo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguares de Cordoba Ind. Yumbo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jaguares de Cordoba or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Jaguares de Cordoba 45%
Ind. Yumbo 22%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Jaguares de Cordoba 39%
Ind. Yumbo 28%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Jaguares de Cordoba 41%
Ind. Yumbo 27%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Jaguares de Cordoba 43%
Ind. Yumbo 26%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Jaguares de Cordoba 37%
Ind. Yumbo 30%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Jaguares de Cordoba 47%
Ind. Yumbo 31%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jaguares de Cordoba attacking → ← attacking Ind. Yumbo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguares de Cordoba have found the net in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Ind. Yumbo have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 19 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Jaguares de Cordoba remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Ind. Yumbo suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 20
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101