Sport Picks
Jaiba Brava vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero 
Match Events
21'
21'
Tecpanecatl A.
25'
25'
Ocejo Zazueta J. A.
Assist: Martinez J.
29'
29'
Manzanarez O.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Jaiba Brava and Alebrijes de Oaxaca finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaiba Brava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca haven't matched Jaiba Brava's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Jaiba Brava's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Jaiba Brava have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 16%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaiba Brava | Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Jaiba Brava
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Jaiba Brava
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jaiba Brava Compare
Top Goalscorer Ocejo Zazueta J. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Escalante E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaiba Brava 75 / 100
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaiba Brava Alebrijes de Oaxaca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jaiba Brava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alebrijes de Oaxaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Jaiba Brava found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Alebrijes de Oaxaca registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jaiba Brava VS Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaiba Brava
(Home) 03 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
23 Aug
Jaiba Brava
2 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
09 Aug
Jaiba Brava
3 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Jul
Jaiba Brava
0 : 0 Piratas
Page 1 of 4
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Away) 09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
23 Aug
Jaiba Brava
2 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Aug
Tlaxcala
0 : 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
