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Jaiba Brava vs Irapuato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Sanchez B.
Penalty Missed
38' Event
Gamboa J.
40'
Elbis

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 game between Jaiba Brava and Irapuato finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Irapuato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Jaiba Brava
15%
Draws
67%
Irapuato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Jaiba Brava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Irapuato's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 10%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiba Brava Irapuato
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.15 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Irapuato
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Irapuato
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Jaiba Brava
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Jaiba Brava
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Irapuato vs Jaiba Brava
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaiba Brava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Irapuato Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamboa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiba Brava 10 / 100
Irapuato 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiba Brava Irapuato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaiba Brava scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Irapuato conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Jaiba Brava has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaiba Brava VS Irapuato
1.13 Goals Scored 2.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaiba Brava

(Home)
03 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0
Jaiba Brava
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1
Dorados de Sinaloa
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3
Venados FC
Page 1 of 7

Irapuato

(Away)
27 Sept
Irapuato
3 : 0
Lobos ULMX
22 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3
Irapuato
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
05 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 3
Irapuato
30 Aug
Irapuato
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tepatitlan de Morelos 14 7 5 2 21:10 26
2 Cancun 14 7 4 3 24:17 25
3 Club Atletico Morelia 14 7 2 5 18:12 23
4 Atletico La Paz 14 5 7 2 22:12 22
5 Jaiba Brava 14 6 3 5 15:15 21
6 Zacatecas Mineros 14 6 3 5 19:20 21
7 Tapatio 14 6 2 6 28:24 20
8 Atlante 14 5 5 4 21:17 20
9 Irapuato 14 6 2 6 27:24 20
10 Tlaxcala 14 5 5 4 16:17 20
11 Venados FC 14 4 4 6 25:25 16
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14 4 4 6 20:29 16
13 Dorados de Sinaloa 14 3 4 7 17:28 13
14 Correcaminos 14 3 3 8 14:27 12
15 Leones Negros 14 2 5 7 15:25 11
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)