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Jaiba Brava vs Tepatitlan de Morelos Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero
Jaiba Brava Logo

Jaiba Brava

0 - 0
FT
Tepatitlan de Morelos Logo

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Lopez Gonzalez J.
19'
Ruiz A.
21'
Portales A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Jaiba Brava
15%
Draws
36%
Tepatitlan de Morelos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaiba Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tepatitlan de Morelos haven't matched Jaiba Brava's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jaiba Brava a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Jaiba Brava have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaiba Brava, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 68%
Tepatitlan de Morelos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiba Brava Tepatitlan de Morelos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Jaiba Brava
3:1
May 31, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
4:3
May 24, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Jaiba Brava
3:1
May 17, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Jaiba Brava
1:0
May 10, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiba Brava 95 / 100
Tepatitlan de Morelos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiba Brava Tepatitlan de Morelos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaiba Brava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Jaiba Brava found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Tepatitlan de Morelos let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Tepatitlan de Morelos's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaiba Brava VS Tepatitlan de Morelos
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaiba Brava

(Home)
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0
Jaiba Brava
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1
Dorados de Sinaloa
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3
Venados FC
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0
Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 6

Tepatitlan de Morelos

(Away)
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1
Zacatecas Mineros
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
04 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 4
Dorados de Sinaloa
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2
Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tepatitlan de Morelos 2
Atlante 2
Club Atletico Morelia 2
Zacatecas Mineros 3
Cancun 2
Tapatio 1
Atletico La Paz 1
Jaiba Brava 4
Semi-finals
Tepatitlan de Morelos 2
Zacatecas Mineros 2
Cancun 2
Jaiba Brava 3
Final
Tepatitlan de Morelos 1
Jaiba Brava 0