Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaiyq vs Aktobe 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zhurasov A.
Assist: Mukhametzhanov T.
31' Event
Zhumagaliev A.
42' Event
Mukhametzhanov T.
Assist: Berdauletov S.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Jaiyq and Aktobe 2 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaiyq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jaiyq
20%
Draws
44%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aktobe 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Aktobe 2's 1.8 goals per match outpaces what Jaiyq have produced (0.92).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Jaiyq taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 20%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiyq Aktobe 2
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.92 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Jaiyq
1:0
May 27, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs Aktobe 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaiyq Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhurasov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mukhametzhanov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhumagaliev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muratov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiyq 67 / 100
Aktobe 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiyq Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaiyq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Jaiyq found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Jaiyq remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaiyq VS Aktobe 2
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaiyq

(Home)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

Aktobe 2

(Away)
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5
Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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