Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaiyq vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Kushkumbayev D.

AI Match Summary

FC Ekibastuz in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Jaiyq
11%
Draws
9%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Jaiyq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz have won more games recently than Jaiyq.
  • Jaiyq are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 20%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiyq FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs FC Ekibastuz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaiyq Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kushkumbayev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiyq 76 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiyq FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Jaiyq found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).

Solid form: Jaiyq remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

FC Ekibastuz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaiyq VS FC Ekibastuz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaiyq

(Home)
31 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
Jaiyq
23 Jul
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Khan Tengri
17 Jul
FC Astana 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
09 Jul
Jaiyq
1 : 0
Tobol 2
03 Jul
Turan
2 : 2
Jaiyq
Page 1 of 4

FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
30 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
23 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
3 : 0
FC Ekibastuz
16 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Jul
Khan Tengri
1 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhter Karagandy16141144:643
2Kairat Almaty 216133056:942
3Turan16111432:1234
4FC Astana 21682628:2426
5Akademiya Ontustik1682625:2226
6Taraz1672723:2123
7Jaiyq1672715:2023
8Kaspij Aktau 21663725:2921
9FC Ekibastuz1655619:3020
10Khan Tengri1652918:2917
11Aktobe 21645728:5017
12Arys16311216:3810
13Yelimay Semey 216231112:309
14Tobol 216141124:457
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)