Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaiyq vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Kushkumbayev D.

AI Match Summary

FC Ekibastuz in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jaiyq
40%
Draws
29%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz have won more games recently than Jaiyq.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 16%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiyq FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs FC Ekibastuz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaiyq Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kushkumbayev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiyq 31 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiyq FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Jaiyq found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (15 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jaiyq stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaiyq VS FC Ekibastuz
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417