Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup

Kairat Almaty

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaiyq play Kairat Almaty in the Kazakhstan Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jaiyq averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Kairat Almaty averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Jaiyq won 0, Kairat Almaty won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 8, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Jaiyq and 1.63 for Kairat Almaty. This points to a Kairat Almaty double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Jaiyq

20%

Draws

50%

Kairat Almaty

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Jaiyq picked up more points recently compared to Kairat Almaty.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Jaiyq Clean Sheet 14%

Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jaiyq	Kairat Almaty
Matches Played	13	28
Wins	5	14
Draws	1	7
Losses	7	7
Goals Scored	0.85	1.71
Goals Conceded	1.54	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup

Jaiyq vs Kairat Almaty

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaiyq Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhametzhanov T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuyakbaev A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Petrik Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiyq 30 / 100

Kairat Almaty 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jaiyq Kairat Almaty

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kairat Almaty or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jaiyq attacking → ← attacking Kairat Almaty

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaiyq scored in 62% of their last 13 games.

Kairat Almaty let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jaiyq went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kairat Almaty lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 49

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00