Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaiyq vs Tobol 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Umbetov T.

AI Match Summary

Jaiyq in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaiyq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jaiyq
6%
Draws
4%
Tobol 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jaiyq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaiyq lately — more wins on the board than Tobol 2.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Jaiyq taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 10%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiyq Tobol 2
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 1 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs Tobol 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaiyq Compare

Top Goalscorer Umbetov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Tobol 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiyq 83 / 100
Tobol 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiyq Tobol 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tobol 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Jaiyq found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (14 games).

Jaiyq has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tobol 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaiyq VS Tobol 2
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417