Sport Picks

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Jalapa vs Matagalpa

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Copa Primera Estadio Alejandro Ramos Turcio, Jalapa
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Luna P.
16' Event
Villalobos O.
23' Event
Da Silva R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jalapa
15%
Draws
85%
Matagalpa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matagalpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Matagalpa haven't matched Jalapa's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Jalapa taking it.
  • Jalapa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Matagalpa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 16%
Matagalpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jalapa Matagalpa
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Matagalpa
0:1
Jul 12, 2026 Copa Primera
Jalapa vs Matagalpa
3:2
Jul 5, 2026 Copa Primera
Matagalpa vs Jalapa
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Matagalpa
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs Jalapa
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jalapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalobos O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Luna P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Matagalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jalapa 36 / 100
Matagalpa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jalapa Matagalpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Jalapa's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Matagalpa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Matagalpa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jalapa VS Matagalpa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jalapa

(Home)
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
17 Aug
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Jalapa
08 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Sport Sebaco
30 Jul
Jalapa
0 : 1
Esteli
26 Jul
Managua FC
3 : 0
Jalapa
Page 1 of 7

Matagalpa

(Away)
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
10 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Managua FC
03 Aug
Walter Ferreti
4 : 1
Matagalpa
26 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Matagalpa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Diriangen 2
Sport Sebaco 3
Matagalpa 5
Jalapa 4
Xilotepelt 0
Esteli 3
Rancho Santana 2
Managua FC 5
Semi-finals
Sport Sebaco -
Matagalpa -
Esteli -
Managua FC -
Final
TBD -
TBD -