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Jalapa vs Matagalpa

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Benavides R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between Jalapa and Matagalpa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matagalpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Jalapa
15%
Draws
76%
Matagalpa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matagalpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Matagalpa haven't matched Jalapa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 18%
Matagalpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jalapa Matagalpa
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Matagalpa
0:1
Jul 12, 2026 Copa Primera
Jalapa vs Matagalpa
3:2
Jul 5, 2026 Copa Primera
Matagalpa vs Jalapa
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Matagalpa
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs Jalapa
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jalapa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Matagalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Benavides R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jalapa 32 / 100
Matagalpa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jalapa Matagalpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Jalapa scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Matagalpa has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Jalapa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jalapa VS Matagalpa
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jalapa

(Home)
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
17 Aug
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Jalapa
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Matagalpa

(Away)
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 9 7 2 0 27:9 23
2 Diriangen 9 7 2 0 20:6 23
3 Esteli 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 UNAN-Managua 9 5 2 2 11:7 17
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 9 3 1 5 8:14 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 9 2 1 6 12:16 7
9 Rancho Santana 9 1 2 6 7:14 5
10 Jalapa 9 1 1 7 4:14 4
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)