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Jalapa vs Sport Sebaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Campos M.
83'
90' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Sport Sebaco in this Liga Primera matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Sebaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jalapa
30%
Draws
23%
Sport Sebaco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jalapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jalapa have won more games recently than Sport Sebaco.
  • Model gives Jalapa a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 68%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jalapa Sport Sebaco
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Sport Sebaco
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Sport Sebaco
1:0
Feb 5, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Jalapa
0:0
Oct 15, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Jalapa
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Sport Sebaco
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jalapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sport Sebaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jalapa 95 / 100
Sport Sebaco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jalapa Sport Sebaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jalapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jalapa scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Sport Sebaco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Sport Sebaco has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jalapa VS Sport Sebaco
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jalapa

(Home)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
Page 1 of 6

Sport Sebaco

(Away)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
22 Aug
Managua FC
6 : 1
Sport Sebaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)