Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jalapa vs UNAN-Managua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jalapa host UNAN-Managua in the Liga Primera. UNAN-Managua are expected to control this from the start. Jalapa have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.22 conceded recently, against UNAN-Managua's 1.24 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, Jalapa have won 2 to UNAN-Managua's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back UNAN-Managua to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Jalapa
20%
Draws
65%
UNAN-Managua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UNAN-Managua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • UNAN-Managua have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — Jalapa are scoring more at 1.31.
  • Model gives UNAN-Managua a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 20%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jalapa UNAN-Managua
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa
2:1
Apr 8, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa
2:4
Feb 9, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs UNAN-Managua
0:0
Oct 23, 2025 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs UNAN-Managua
5:0
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jalapa 24 / 100
UNAN-Managua 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jalapa UNAN-Managua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAN-Managua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Jalapa's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

UNAN-Managua let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Jalapa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jalapa VS UNAN-Managua
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jalapa

(Home)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
Page 1 of 7

UNAN-Managua

(Away)
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)