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Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Villalobos O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between Jalapa and Walter Ferreti finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jalapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jalapa
35%
Draws
32%
Walter Ferreti
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Jalapa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 18%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jalapa Walter Ferreti
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Jalapa
2:2
Jul 18, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti
3:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Jalapa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jalapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalobos O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Walter Ferreti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jalapa 32 / 100
Walter Ferreti 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jalapa Walter Ferreti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jalapa scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Walter Ferreti has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Walter Ferreti's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jalapa VS Walter Ferreti
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jalapa

(Home)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
Page 1 of 6

Walter Ferreti

(Away)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)