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Jamaica U17 vs Saint Lucia U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

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World Cup U17 2025 Estadio Cementos Progreso, Guatemala City
Jamaica U17 Logo

Jamaica U17

3 - 1
FT
Saint Lucia U17 Logo

Saint Lucia U17

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Reid S.
50' Event
White D.
55' Event
Nolan J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jamaica U17 in this World Cup U17 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Jamaica U17
15%
Draws
17%
Saint Lucia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jamaica U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Jamaica U17 have won more games recently than Saint Lucia U17.
  • Win probability leans Jamaica U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Jamaica U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jamaica U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Jamaica U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Lucia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamaica U17 Saint Lucia U17
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 13 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.47 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2025 World Cup U17
Jamaica U17 vs Saint Lucia U17
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamaica U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader White D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Saint Lucia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Byron S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamaica U17 83 / 100
Saint Lucia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamaica U17 Saint Lucia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jamaica U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jamaica U17 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Saint Lucia U17 let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Jamaica U17 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jamaica U17 VS Saint Lucia U17
2 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamaica U17

(Home)
11 Feb
Canada U17
1 : 3
Jamaica U17
08 Feb
Cayman Islands U17
0 : 12
Jamaica U17
06 Feb
Jamaica U17
3 : 0
Aruba U17
16 Feb
Jamaica U17
1 : 2
El Salvador U17
12 Feb
Cayman Islands U17
1 : 10
Jamaica U17
Page 1 of 6

Saint Lucia U17

(Away)
15 Feb
Cayman Islands U17
0 : 5
Saint Lucia U17
13 Feb
Saint Lucia U17
0 : 2
El Salvador U17
10 Feb
Jamaica U17
3 : 1
Saint Lucia U17
12 Mar
Saint Lucia U17
1 : 4
Haiti U17
10 Mar
Saint Lucia U17
1 : 3
Canada U17
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 4 4 0 0 28:2 12
2 Curacao U17 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
3 Bermuda U17 4 2 0 2 10:14 6
4 Turks and Caicos Islands U17 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
5 Anguilla U17 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U17 4 3 1 0 21:2 10
2 Trinidad & Tobago U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Guyana U17 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 British Virgin Islands U17 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Sint Maarten U17 4 0 0 4 0:28 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
2 Nicaragua U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
3 Barbados U17 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Belize U17 4 1 0 3 10:8 3
5 Dominica U17 4 0 0 4 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Puerto Rico U17 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Saint Martin U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Bonaire U17 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U17 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Guatemala U17 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Antigua and Barbuda U17 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 3 3 0 0 31:0 9
2 Cuba U17 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Saint Kitts and Nevis U17 3 1 0 2 10:12 3
4 United States Virgin Islands U17 3 0 0 3 5:37 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama U17 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Dominican Republic U17 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Aruba U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Grenada U17 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Jamaica U17 3 2 0 1 14:4 6
3 Saint Lucia U17 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Cayman Islands U17 3 0 0 3 1:23 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)