Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jamaica vs Trinidad & Tobago

World World

Friendly International 2025 Montego Bay Sports Complex, Montego Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
McCalla S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Jamaica and Trinidad & Tobago finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jamaica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Jamaica
20%
Draws
10%
Trinidad & Tobago
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jamaica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Trinidad & Tobago haven't matched Jamaica's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jamaica a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Jamaica Clean Sheet 68%
Trinidad & Tobago Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamaica Trinidad & Tobago
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.54 1.27
Goals Conceded 1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship
Trinidad & Tobago vs Jamaica
1:1
Sep 10, 2025 World Championship
Jamaica vs Trinidad & Tobago
2:0
May 27, 2025 Friendly International
Jamaica vs Trinidad & Tobago
3:2
Feb 10, 2025 Friendly International
Jamaica vs Trinidad & Tobago
1:1
Feb 7, 2025 Friendly International
Jamaica vs Trinidad & Tobago
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamaica Compare

Top Goalscorer McCalla S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Trinidad & Tobago Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamaica 86 / 100
Trinidad & Tobago 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamaica Trinidad & Tobago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jamaica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trinidad & Tobago conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Jamaica scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Jamaica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jamaica VS Trinidad & Tobago
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamaica

(Home)
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2
Jamaica
29 Sept
Jamaica
0 : 1
Honduras
26 Sept
Jamaica
3 : 2
Guatemala
06 Jun
Jamaica
1 : 1
South Africa
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3
Nigeria
Page 1 of 6

Trinidad & Tobago

(Away)
04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1
Curacao
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago
26 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
Page 1 of 6