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Jammerbugt vs Fredensborg

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
De Biase L.
84' Event
Thomsen M.
90' Event
Ahlmann V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Jammerbugt and Fredensborg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jammerbugt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jammerbugt
15%
Draws
85%
Fredensborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fredensborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jammerbugt have managed 0.26 goals a game lately — Fredensborg are scoring more at 0.7.
  • Model gives Fredensborg a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Jammerbugt Clean Sheet 10%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jammerbugt Fredensborg
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 1 6
Losses 29 19
Goals Scored 0.26 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Jammerbugt vs Fredensborg
2:1
Apr 29, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs Jammerbugt
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jammerbugt Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomsen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Fredensborg Compare

Top Goalscorer De Biase L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jammerbugt 10 / 100
Fredensborg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jammerbugt Fredensborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredensborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredensborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Fredensborg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Jammerbugt scored in 14% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jammerbugt VS Fredensborg
0 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Jammerbugt

(Home)
17 Jun
Skive
3 : 0
Jammerbugt
10 Jun
Jammerbugt
0 : 3
Roskilde
03 Jun
Jammerbugt
0 : 3
Brabrand
27 May
Hellerup
3 : 0
Jammerbugt
20 May
BK Frem
3 : 0
Jammerbugt
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Fredensborg

(Away)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
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