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Jamus vs Mogadishu City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Bangoura N.
56' Event
Taban S.
60' Event
Ramazani L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Jamus
15%
Draws
26%
Mogadishu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jamus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Jamus haven't matched Mogadishu City's recent run of results.
  • Jamus are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Mogadishu City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jamus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jamus Clean Sheet 13%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamus Mogadishu City
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.67 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Jamus vs Mogadishu City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamus Compare

Top Goalscorer Taban S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramazani L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Mogadishu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamus 57 / 100
Mogadishu City 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamus Mogadishu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jamus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogadishu City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jamus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mogadishu City lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jamus VS Mogadishu City
1.2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamus

(Home)
07 Aug
Jamus
1 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
04 Aug
Jamus
1 : 3
Rayon Sport
31 Jul
Jamus
2 : 1
Mogadishu City
28 Jul
Jamus
0 : 0
Simba
25 Jul
Singida Black Stars
0 : 2
Jamus
Page 1 of 2

Mogadishu City

(Away)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
2 Vipers 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 APR 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
4 Garde Republicaine 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamus 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Simba 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Singida Black Stars 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Mogadishu City 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayon Sport 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Al Hilal Omdurman 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Tusker 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 KVZ 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams