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Jamus vs Mogadishu City

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CECAFA Kagame Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Jamus at 0.67 goals for, 0 against; Mogadishu City at 2 for, 0.88 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.78 vs 1.55, favoring Mogadishu City. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Jamus
20%
Draws
38%
Mogadishu City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jamus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Jamus haven't matched Mogadishu City's recent run of results.
  • Jamus are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Mogadishu City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Jamus Clean Sheet 15%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamus Mogadishu City
Matches Played 6 26
Wins 1 13
Draws 2 9
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 0.67 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamus 41 / 100
Mogadishu City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamus Mogadishu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Jamus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Jamus scored in 17% of their last 6 games.

Mogadishu City has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Mogadishu City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jamus VS Mogadishu City
0.67 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
33% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamus

(Home)
28 Jul
Jamus
0 : 0
Simba
25 Jul
Singida Black Stars
0 : 2
Jamus
28 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Jamus
21 Sept
Jamus
0 : 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman
24 Aug
Stade Tunisien
4 : 0
Jamus
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Mogadishu City

(Away)
28 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 4
Singida Black Stars
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
08 Jul
Jubba
0 : 4
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers22004:06
2Mahia21015:13
3APR21013:63
4Garde Republicaine20021:60
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamus21102:04
2Singida Black Stars21014:33
3Simba20200:02
4Mogadishu City20111:41
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman11002:03
2Rayon Sport11002:03
3Tusker10010:20
4KVZ10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams