Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U16 vs Iraq U16

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U16 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
29' Event
42' Event

AI Match Summary

Iraq U16 in this AFC Championship U16 2016 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Japan U16
15%
Draws
34%
Iraq U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Iraq U16 at 2.3 per game, Japan U16 at 1.65.
  • Model gives Japan U16 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U16, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Japan U16 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 18%
Iraq U16 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U16 Iraq U16
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 19 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.65 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2016 AFC Championship U16
Japan U16 vs Iraq U16
2:4
Oct 3, 2012 AFC Championship U16
Iraq U16 vs Japan U16
1:5
Nov 1, 2010 AFC Championship U16
Iraq U16 vs Japan U16
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U16 41 / 100
Iraq U16 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U16 Iraq U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U16's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Iraq U16 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Japan U16 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U16 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U16

(Home)
21 Apr
Cameroon U16
1 : 2
Japan U16
19 Apr
Japan U16
1 : 0
Mexico U16
17 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
Japan U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
18 Feb
Japan U16
3 : 1
Netherlands U16
Page 1 of 8

Iraq U16

(Away)
22 Sept
Iraq U16
3 : 0
Kyrgyzstan U16
20 Sept
Lebanon U16
1 : 2
Iraq U16
18 Sept
Iraq U16
0 : 1
United Arab Emirates U16
28 Sept
Iraq U16
0 : 2
South Korea U16
25 Sept
Australia U16
2 : 1
Iraq U16
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Iran U16 5
Vietnam U16 0
Oman U16 1
North Korea U16 2
Japan U16 1
United Arab Emirates U16 0
Uzbekistan U16 0
Iraq U16 2
Semi-finals
Iran U16 2
North Korea U16 1
Japan U16 2
Iraq U16 4
Final
Iran U16 0
Iraq U16 1