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Japan U16 vs Italy U16 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Kusano R.
20' Event
Fugazzola M.

AI Match Summary

Italy U16 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Japan U16
15%
Draws
49%
Italy U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U16 have won more games recently than Japan U16.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U16 Italy U16
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Italy U16
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Italy U16
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Italy U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fugazzola M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U16 31 / 100
Italy U16 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U16 Italy U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U16 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Italy U16 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Japan U16 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Japan U16 VS Italy U16
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U16

(Home)
21 Apr
Cameroon U16
1 : 2
Japan U16
19 Apr
Japan U16
1 : 0
Mexico U16
17 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
Japan U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
18 Feb
Japan U16
3 : 1
Netherlands U16
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Italy U16

(Away)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Norway U16
1 : 2
Italy U16
29 May
Italy U16
3 : 2
South Korea U16
10 Apr
Czech Republic U16
0 : 2
Italy U16
08 Apr
Czech Republic U16
3 : 0
Italy U16
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