Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U16 vs Mexico U16

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Sato R.
70' Event
Isozaki M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2022 game between Japan U16 and Mexico U16 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Japan U16
15%
Draws
37%
Mexico U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U16 come out ahead of Japan U16 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Japan U16 a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 20%
Mexico U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U16 Mexico U16
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Mexico U16
1:0
Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Mexico U16
0:1
Jun 12, 2022 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Mexico U16
2:0
Aug 19, 2012 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Mexico U16
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isozaki M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Mexico U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U16 49 / 100
Mexico U16 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U16 Mexico U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U16's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Mexico U16's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Japan U16 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U16 VS Mexico U16
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.57
50% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U16

(Home)
21 Apr
Cameroon U16
1 : 2
Japan U16
19 Apr
Japan U16
1 : 0
Mexico U16
17 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
Japan U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
18 Feb
Japan U16
3 : 1
Netherlands U16
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Mexico U16

(Away)
21 Apr
China U16
0 : 2
Mexico U16
19 Apr
Japan U16
1 : 0
Mexico U16
17 Apr
England U16
0 : 3
Mexico U16
15 Apr
Mexico U16
0 : 6
Portugal U16
18 Nov
Mexico U16
1 : 1
USA U16
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