Sport Picks

World

Friendly International Women 2023

Mexico U16 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Japan U16 W play Mexico U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2023. Japan U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Japan U16 W averaged 3.37 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Mexico U16 W averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Japan U16 W won 1, Mexico U16 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Japan U16 W and 0.69 for Mexico U16 W. This points to a Japan U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

Japan U16 W

15%

Draws

19%

Mexico U16 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Japan U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Mexico U16 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Japan U16 W Clean Sheet 28%

Mexico U16 W Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Japan U16 W	Mexico U16 W
Matches Played	30	13
Wins	23	3
Draws	3	3
Losses	4	7
Goals Scored	3.37	0.85
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2023 Friendly International Women

Japan U16 W vs Mexico U16 W

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwaki K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Mexico U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U16 W 65 / 100

Mexico U16 W 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Japan U16 W Mexico U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U16 W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Japan U16 W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Japan U16 W attacking → ← attacking Mexico U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U16 W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Mexico U16 W let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Japan U16 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mexico U16 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 12

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13