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Stadium Background

Japan U17 vs USA U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Shibata City Ikomono Park Athletics Stadium, Niigata
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Hayashi S.
49' Event
Hezarkhani A.
50' Event
Tanaka K.

AI Match Summary

Japan U17 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Japan U17
20%
Draws
20%
USA U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Japan U17 have won more games recently than USA U18.
  • Japan U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 20%
USA U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 USA U18
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 19 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.35 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Friendly International
Japan U17 vs USA U18
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanaka K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Osa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

USA U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hezarkhani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baiera D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 85 / 100
USA U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 USA U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U17's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

USA U18 let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Japan U17 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 VS USA U18
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U17

(Home)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
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USA U18

(Away)
03 Oct
Norway U18
3 : 2
USA U18
30 Sept
USA U18
1 : 1
Ireland U18
08 Jun
USA U18
2 : 0
Qatar U20
05 Jun
USA U18
0 : 2
Sweden U18
31 Mar
Portugal U18
1 : 1
USA U18
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