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Japan U17 W vs England U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2024 Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez
Sun, Oct 27, 2024
2 - 3
11:00 PM
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Match Events

23' Event
Aoki Y.
Assist: Shinjo M.
27' Event
Parkinson E.
Assist: Oboavwoduo J.
29' Event
Hirakawa H.

AI Match Summary

England U17 W in this World Cup Women U17 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored England U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Japan U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
England U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Japan U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Japan U17 W at 3.75 per game, England U17 W at 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Japan U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal World Cup Women U17 2024 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • England U17 W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
England U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 W England U17 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 3.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 World Cup Women U17
Japan U17 W vs England U17 W
2:3
Oct 13, 2016 World Cup Women U17
Japan U17 W vs England U17 W
3:0
Nov 9, 2008 World Cup Women U17
Japan U17 W vs England U17 W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aoki Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hirakawa H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

England U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Parkinson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shaw Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 W 85 / 100
England U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 W England U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U17 W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

England U17 W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Japan U17 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 W VS England U17 W
3.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nigeria U17 W0
USA U17 W2
North Korea U17 W1
Poland U17 W0
Spain U17 W5
Ecuador U17 W0
Japan U17 W2
England U17 W3
Semi-finals
USA U17 W0
North Korea U17 W1
Spain U17 W3
England U17 W0
Final
North Korea U17 W2
Spain U17 W1
USA U17 W3
England U17 W0