Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U18 vs Uruguay U18

World World

Friendly International 2025 Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Milano M.
Own Goal
29'
Martinez M.
46'
Sub
Lecchini R. In: Dudok R.
Out: Lecchini R.

AI Match Summary

Japan U18 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Japan U18
15%
Draws
37%
Uruguay U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Japan U18 lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay U18.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Japan U18 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Japan U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Uruguay U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U18 Uruguay U18
Matches Played 27 13
Wins 15 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.85 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Friendly International
Japan U18 vs Uruguay U18
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wada N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onishi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Uruguay U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U18 67 / 100
Uruguay U18 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U18 Uruguay U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U18 found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Uruguay U18 let in goals in 92% of their last 13 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Japan U18 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan U18 VS Uruguay U18
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U18

(Home)
27 Sept
France U18
1 : 3
Japan U18
25 Sept
Austria U18
2 : 1
Japan U18
23 Sept
Japan U18
2 : 1
Ukraine U18
21 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 0
Australia U18
20 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 4
Spain U19
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Uruguay U18

(Away)
26 Nov
Argentina U20
4 : 0
Uruguay U18
23 Oct
Uruguay U18
1 : 1
Colombia U17
21 Oct
Uruguay U18
1 : 0
Colombia U17
09 Oct
Uruguay U18
0 : 1
Peru U18
07 Oct
Uruguay U18
2 : 1
Peru U18
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