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Japan U19 vs Iraq U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Taki Y.
27' Event
Tagawa K.
34' Event
Hara T.

AI Match Summary

Japan U19 in this AFC Championship U19 2018 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Japan U19
30%
Draws
35%
Iraq U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Japan U19 have won more games recently than Iraq U19.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship U19 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Japan U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Iraq U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U19 Iraq U19
Matches Played 34 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 1 11
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.97 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 AFC Championship U19
Japan U19 vs Iraq U19
0:0
Oct 25, 2018 AFC Championship U19
Japan U19 vs Iraq U19
5:0
Nov 11, 2012 AFC Championship U19
Iraq U19 vs Japan U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hara T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Taki Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Iraq U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U19 32 / 100
Iraq U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U19 Iraq U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U19's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Iraq U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Japan U19 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U19 VS Iraq U19
2.25 Goals Scored 0.8
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U19

(Home)
09 Jun
USA U19
5 : 2
Japan U19
06 Jun
Mexico U20
1 : 3
Japan U19
30 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
2 : 1
Japan U19
25 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
0 : 1
Japan U19
18 Nov
Japan U19
0 : 1
USA U19
Page 1 of 7

Iraq U19

(Away)
28 Feb
Egypt U19
1 : 0
Iraq U19
24 Feb
Egypt U19
1 : 1
Iraq U19
30 Jun
Lebanon U19
0 : 2
Iraq U19
28 Jun
Albania U19
1 : 1
Iraq U19
26 Jun
Iraq U19
0 : 0
Jordan U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U19 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
2 Indonesia U19 3 2 0 1 9:7 6
3 United Arab Emirates U19 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
4 Chinese Taipei U19 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U19 3 3 0 0 13:3 9
2 Thailand U19 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
3 North Korea U19 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Iraq U19 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U19 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Australia U19 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Jordan U19 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Vietnam U19 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U19 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Tajikistan U19 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 China U19 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Malaysia U19 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)