Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U20 W vs Australia U20 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U20 Nonthaburi Provincial Stadium, Nonthaburi
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Melegh I.
26'
Bertolissio T.
39' Event
Prakash A.
Assist: Halmarick S.

AI Match Summary

Japan U20 W in this AFC Asian Cup Women U20 tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Japan U20 W
28%
Draws
22%
Australia U20 W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Japan U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Japan U20 W lately — more wins on the board than Australia U20 W.
  • Win probability leans Japan U20 W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Japan U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 68%
Australia U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U20 W Australia U20 W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 23 16
Draws 1 2
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 6.13 4.63
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 6.13 4.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs Australia U20 W
5:2
Mar 13, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Australia U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fukushima N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kimura M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.72
Avg xA / game 3.06

Australia U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Prakash A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.21
Avg xA / game 2.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U20 W 59 / 100
Australia U20 W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U20 W Australia U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U20 W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Japan U20 W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Australia U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U20 W VS Australia U20 W
6.13 Goals Scored 4.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U20 W

(Home)
09 Jun
England U20 W
0 : 1
Japan U20 W
06 Jun
Canada U20 W
2 : 2
Japan U20 W
18 Apr
Japan U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
15 Apr
China U20 W
0 : 2
Japan U20 W
11 Apr
Japan U20 W
4 : 0
Vietnam U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Australia U20 W

(Away)
12 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
Australia U20 W
08 Apr
Japan U20 W
5 : 2
Australia U20 W
05 Apr
India U20 W
0 : 5
Australia U20 W
02 Apr
Australia U20 W
5 : 0
Chinese Taipei U20 W
30 Nov
Australia U20 W
4 : 1
South Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China U20 W33006:09
2Thailand U20 W32017:46
3Vietnam U20 W31022:73
4Bangladesh U20 W30032:60
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U20 W330019:09
2South Korea U20 W32014:66
3Uzbekistan U20 W31024:83
4Jordan U20 W30031:140
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U20 W330013:29
2Australia U20 W320112:56
3India U20 W31023:123
4Chinese Taipei U20 W30031:100
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams