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Japan U20 W vs New Zealand U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women U20 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz
Japan U20 W Logo

Japan U20 W

2 - 1
FT
New Zealand U20 W Logo

New Zealand U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Lyon E.
46'
Sub
Kurimoto Y. In: Matsunaga M.
Out: Kurimoto Y.
46'
Sub
Higuchi R. In: Honda Y.
Out: Higuchi R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Japan U20 W
20%
Draws
0%
New Zealand U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan U20 W have won more games recently than New Zealand U20 W.
  • Win probability leans Japan U20 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Japan U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U20 W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Japan U20 W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 20%
New Zealand U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U20 W New Zealand U20 W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 24 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 3.06 3.53
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 World Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs New Zealand U20 W
2:1
Sep 3, 2024 World Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs New Zealand U20 W
7:0
Aug 22, 2012 World Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs New Zealand U20 W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsunaga M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

New Zealand U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brazendale L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.21
Avg xA / game 0.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U20 W 85 / 100
New Zealand U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U20 W New Zealand U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U20 W scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

New Zealand U20 W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

New Zealand U20 W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U20 W VS New Zealand U20 W
5.25 Goals Scored 0.33
0.13 Goals Conceded 4.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U20 W

(Home)
17 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Japan U20 W
12 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Japan U20 W
09 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 2
USA U20 W
06 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
09 Jun
England U20 W
0 : 1
Japan U20 W
Page 1 of 7

New Zealand U20 W

(Away)
12 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
0 : 9
USA U20 W
09 Sept
Italy U20 W
3 : 0
New Zealand U20 W
06 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
08 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
1 : 3
Ghana U20 W
06 Sept
Austria U20 W
3 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Argentina U20 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Mexico U20 W 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
4 Benin U20 W 3 0 1 2 3:14 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 England U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Canada U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
4 Tanzania U20 W 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U20 W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 South Korea U20 W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Ecuador U20 W 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
4 Ghana U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U20 W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Japan U20 W 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 USA U20 W 3 1 1 1 12:4 4
4 New Zealand U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Portugal U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Colombia U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Costa Rica U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U20 W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Nigeria U20 W 3 1 1 1 10:3 4
3 China U20 W 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 New Caledonia U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:26 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)