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Stadium Background

Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U20 Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit
Japan U20 W Logo

Japan U20 W

1 - 0
FT
North Korea U20 W Logo

North Korea U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Kang Ryu-Mi
55'
Ri Kuk-Hyang
56' Event
Sano M.
Assist: Fukushima N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Japan U20 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Japan U20 W
6%
Draws
90%
North Korea U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Korea U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Korea U20 W come out ahead of Japan U20 W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on North Korea U20 W taking it.
  • North Korea U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor North Korea U20 W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • North Korea U20 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
North Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U20 W North Korea U20 W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 23 25
Draws 1 2
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 6.38 7.25
Goals Conceded 0.25 0
Expected Goals (xG) 6.38 7.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 World Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
1:2
Mar 10, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
0:1
Dec 1, 2008 World Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 4.91
Avg xA / game 3.19

North Korea U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 6.59
Avg xA / game 4.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U20 W 10 / 100
North Korea U20 W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U20 W North Korea U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U20 W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Japan U20 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

North Korea U20 W let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U20 W VS North Korea U20 W
6.38 Goals Scored 7.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U20 W

(Home)
09 Jun
England U20 W
0 : 1
Japan U20 W
06 Jun
Canada U20 W
2 : 2
Japan U20 W
18 Apr
Japan U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
15 Apr
China U20 W
0 : 2
Japan U20 W
11 Apr
Japan U20 W
4 : 0
Vietnam U20 W
Page 1 of 6

North Korea U20 W

(Away)
18 Apr
Japan U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
15 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
South Korea U20 W
12 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
Australia U20 W
08 Apr
North Korea U20 W
5 : 0
South Korea U20 W
05 Apr
Uzbekistan U20 W
0 : 6
North Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
China U20 W2
Uzbekistan U20 W1
Japan U20 W4
Vietnam U20 W0
North Korea U20 W3
Australia U20 W0
Thailand U20 W1
South Korea U20 W2
Semi-finals
China U20 W0
Japan U20 W2
North Korea U20 W3
South Korea U20 W0
Final
Japan U20 W1
North Korea U20 W0