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Japan U20 W vs Vietnam U20 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Japan U20 W play Vietnam U20 W in the AFC Asian Cup Women U20 2024. Japan U20 W are favorites here. Recently, Japan U20 W averaged 3.59 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Vietnam U20 W averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. In past meetings, Japan U20 W won 2, Vietnam U20 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.56 for Japan U20 W and 1.44 for Vietnam U20 W. This points to a Japan U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Japan U20 W
15%
Draws
27%
Vietnam U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Japan U20 W picked up more points recently compared to Vietnam U20 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.56 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 16%
Vietnam U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U20 W Vietnam U20 W
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 23 6
Draws 1 2
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 3.59 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 6.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs Vietnam U20 W
4:0
Mar 4, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs Vietnam U20 W
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsukubo M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hijikata M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.72
Avg xA / game 3.06

Vietnam U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U20 W 55 / 100
Vietnam U20 W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U20 W Vietnam U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Japan U20 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Japan U20 W attacking → ← attacking Vietnam U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U20 W scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Vietnam U20 W let in goals in 64% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Japan U20 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vietnam U20 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 20
6.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Australia U20 W33007:19
2South Korea U20 W320120:26
3Chinese Taipei U20 W31022:93
4Uzbekistan U20 W30030:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Korea U20 W32108:17
2Japan U20 W320112:16
3China U20 W31117:44
4Vietnam U20 W30031:220