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Japan U21 vs Canada U21

World World

Toulon Tournament 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Bair T.
65' Event
Mitoma K.

AI Match Summary

The Toulon Tournament 2018 game between Japan U21 and Canada U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Japan U21
20%
Draws
38%
Canada U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Japan U21's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Toulon Tournament 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Japan U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Canada U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U21 Canada U21
Matches Played 22 4
Wins 8 1
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2018 Maurice Revello Tournament
Japan U21 vs Canada U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitoma K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Canada U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bair T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U21 42 / 100
Canada U21 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U21 Canada U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U21 scored in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Canada U21 let in goals in 50% of their last 4 matches.

Japan U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U21 VS Canada U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
Japan U21
29 Mar
South Korea U23
2 : 1
Japan U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
3 : 2
Japan U21
Page 1 of 5

Canada U21

(Away)
07 Jun
France U20
2 : 1
Canada U21
03 Jun
Japan U21
1 : 1
Canada U21
31 May
Canada U21
1 : 0
Turkey U20
28 May
Portugal U19
0 : 0
Canada U21

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico U2132107:27
2England U2132106:17
3China U2130123:61
4Qatar U1930122:91
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland U2132104:27
2France U2032016:26
3Togo U2131113:44
4South Korea U2030033:80
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Turkey U2032014:36
2Canada U2131202:15
3Japan U2131115:54
4Portugal U1930123:51
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams