Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U23 vs Iraq U23

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Japan U23 and Iraq U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Japan U23
15%
Draws
5%
Iraq U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan U23 come out ahead of Iraq U23 on wins alone.
  • Japan U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Japan U23 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Japan U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U23 Iraq U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 24 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.45 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
Japan U23 vs Iraq U23
2:0
Apr 11, 2024 Friendly International
Japan U23 vs Iraq U23
1:0
Jan 26, 2016 AFC Asian Cup U23
Japan U23 vs Iraq U23
2:1
Sep 17, 2014 Asian Games
Japan U23 vs Iraq U23
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U23 85 / 100
Iraq U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U23 Iraq U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U23 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Japan U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Iraq U23 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Japan U23 VS Iraq U23
2.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U23

(Home)
26 Sept
Japan U23
1 : 0
North Korea U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 7
Japan U23
16 Sept
Japan U23
2 : 0
Hong Kong U23
24 Jan
China U23
0 : 4
Japan U23
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Iraq U23

(Away)
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
Thailand U23
1 : 1
Iraq U23
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