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Stadium Background

Japan vs Venezuela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Kumasaka K. In: Tanaka S.
Out: Kumasaka K.
46'
Sub
Saito S. In: Ito J.
Out: Saito S.
46'
Sub
Sato R. In: Kubo T.
Out: Sato R.

AI Match Summary

Japan in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Japan
20%
Draws
24%
Venezuela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Venezuela haven't matched Japan's recent run of results.
  • Japan are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Japan Clean Sheet 68%
Venezuela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan Venezuela
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 21 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.27 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Friendly International
Japan vs Venezuela
2:1
Nov 19, 2019 Friendly International
Japan vs Venezuela
1:4
Nov 16, 2018 Friendly International
Japan vs Venezuela
1:1
Sep 9, 2014 Friendly International
Japan vs Venezuela
2:2
Aug 15, 2012 Friendly International
Japan vs Venezuela
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ueda A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Venezuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelsy K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan 77 / 100
Venezuela 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan Venezuela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Venezuela let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Japan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan VS Venezuela
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan

(Home)
05 Oct
Japan
2 : 1
New Zealand
01 Oct
Japan
1 : 0
Ecuador
28 Sept
Japan
2 : 1
Venezuela
24 Sept
Japan
3 : 1
Uruguay
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
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Venezuela

(Away)
06 Oct
Jordan
0 : 0
Venezuela
02 Oct
South Korea
0 : 0
Venezuela
28 Sept
Japan
2 : 1
Venezuela
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
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