Sport Picks
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Asia
Asian Games Women Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka 
Match Events
6'
6'
Takarada S.
(Penalty)
19'
19'
Kamiya C.
Assist: Nakashima Y.
41'
41'
Huang Ke-Sin
AI Match Summary
The Asian Games Women game between Japan W and Chinese Taipei W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Japan W come out ahead of Chinese Taipei W on wins alone.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Japan W taking it.
- Regular Asian Games Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Japan W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Japan W Clean Sheet 10%
Chinese Taipei W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Japan W | Chinese Taipei W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.97 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.78 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.57 | 2.16 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2026 Asian Games Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
4:0
Mar 4, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
2:0
Jul 9, 2025 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
4:0
Jul 23, 2022 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
4:1
Dec 11, 2019 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs Chinese Taipei W
9:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Japan W Compare
Top Goalscorer Kamiya C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ueno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.98
Avg xA / game 1.28
Chinese Taipei W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.96
Avg xA / game 1.2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Japan W 83 / 100
Chinese Taipei W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Japan W Chinese Taipei W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Japan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Japan W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Japan W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Chinese Taipei W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Japan W VS Chinese Taipei W
3 Goals Scored 3.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.14
63% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
Japan W
(Home) 09 Oct
Haiti W
1 : 5 Japan W
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3 Japan W
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0 South Korea W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Philippines W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 7
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0 South Korea W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Philippines W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0 Thailand W
09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1 South Africa W
Page 1 of 4
Chinese Taipei W
(Away) 25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1 Chinese Taipei W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1 Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Chinese Taipei W
2 : 1 Vietnam W
09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3 Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1 Chinese Taipei W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1 Chinese Taipei W
09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3 Chinese Taipei W
07 Jun
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 13 Chinese Taipei W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Chinese Taipei W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Vietnam W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:10 | 1 |
| 4 | Thailand W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Korea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 7 |
| 2 | South Korea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Myanmar W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:13 | 1 |
| 4 | Bangladesh W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Philippines W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
